"There is already a game" "Change of government"
It looks like it.
The Korean presidential election will be held on the 9th.
The unification of the opposition parties was decided on the 3rd, just before the preliminary voting began. Ahn Cheol-soo, who has been the third candidate after the two main candidates according to multiple public opinion polls so far, withdrew from the race and joined the camp of Yun Sung-ryeol of the conservative opposition party. decided.
This was said to be the biggest point in the country in this presidential election, which has been called a ``historic turmoil''.
It's simple. The most recent public opinion poll (just before the unification) showed that the approval ratings were ``38% for Lee Jae-myung, 39% for Yoon, and 12% for Ahn,'' of which ``12%'' were in the opposition camp. The data was reported by Korean media on the 4th according to the results of the polling company "Korea Gallup".
But, but, but.
There are circumstances that are a little different from Japan in the "support rate" that is the basis for this.
Rush.
In South Korea, there is a "Central Election Opinion Research Deliberation Committee" within the government's administrative agency "Central Election Commission". The media and polling companies can apply for the data they have conducted and publish the results through examination. On March 3rd alone, there were 14 poll results registered there.
In other words, it is a mixed bag. There are also uncertainties.
In the midst of this, the leading economic newspaper “Mainichi Economy” on the 3rd showed a certain “view of the poll”.
"Look at the results one month before the election day"
Since the 14th presidential election in 1992, it is said that the number of times the survey results at this point have been directly reflected in the election results is "5/6".
So you have an 83.3% chance of hitting the target. The exception was the election of President Kim Dae-jung in 2002. At this time, Gallup Korea's results one month ago were "25% innovative, 25% second candidate for innovative, and 32% conservative.
However, after this, “25% of innovative candidates (candidate Roh Moo-hyun and junior candidate Chung Moo-hyun)” were unified. As a result, the actual election was reversed and President Roh Moo-hyun was born.
This time in 2022, the same thing is happening with the consolidation six days before the election day, that is, "the only exception in the six times."
In the end, it's "I don't know yet". By the way, this time, the result one month ago is "39.5% Lee: 44.8% Yoon". "Money Today" commissioned "Korea Gallup" to conduct a survey, but the "Mainichi Economy" did not report this clearly, instead saying, "Refer to the Central Election Commission website." Is it a manifestation of "lack of confidence"?
The point is how to grasp the floating layer. In the most recent Gallup Korea poll, 14% of respondents said they had no political party affiliation.
Lee Jae-myung candidate of the revolutionary ruling party.
Candidate Yun Seok-yue of the conservative opposition party.
"MZ generation" who has not decided which of the two candidates to vote for. In other words, young people in their 20s and 30s. Compared to Japan, they have a stronger sense of participation in politics, and a stronger awareness of issues such as finding employment and buying real estate (houses). Still can't decide which candidate to put in.
This presidential election is also a hot topic.
"I don't like either"
It is said to be a battle between historically unpopular candidates.
Former Gyeonggi Governor Lee Jae-myung grew up in a family that was not economically rich, and was unable to attend high school or university. While working as a juvenile worker, he acquired the so-called "Great Examination" qualification. After graduating from Chuo University's master's course in law in 1986, he passed the bar exam and completed his training in 1989 to become a lawyer. After running for the National Assembly for the first time in 2006, he was defeated twice before being elected as Mayor of Seongnam, Gyeonggi Province for the first time in 2010.
There is no end to scandals for those who struggle. One of the parties concerned died suddenly in the suspicion of illegal land acquisition in Jonan City, where he was based when he was governor. In addition, he is suspected of having an affair with an actress, violated the Public Offices Election Law, abused authority, defended the murderer's nephew, drunk driving, and his son's illegal gambling. In his speeches, he is attractive for his "strong words", but on the other hand he is "a little bossy".
On the other hand, Candidate Yoon Seok-yeol once served as prosecutor-general, "in charge of political corruption leading to the impeachment of Park Geun-hye", and after the change of government in 2017, "fought against President Moon Jae-in" "character" stands out. there is The conservative party, which had been in power for many years, wanted to "completely change the power of the people," and was singled out.
However, he has no experience as a politician, and the presidency seems uneasy with only characters. His speech has improved in recent years, but at first he was flustered and continued to make mistakes. Above all, something like a sigh called "ah" is annoying during conversation. Can't the staff point it out?
Not "Which one is better?" or "Which one is better?"
People who have not decided on a firm supporting political party or candidate will be forced to make such a choice.
Determined by the image. In this respect, since the end of last year, there is a point that has often been whispered as a “variable” in Korea.
"Mrs. Impression Confrontation"
Not only the candidate himself, but the characters of the candidates' wives of both camps are fierce. It is a scenery that is not likely to be seen in Japan.
From mid-December to January, there was a lot of controversy over the “misrepresentation of personal history” of Kim Gun-hee, the wife of conservative opposition candidate Yoon Sung-yeol. Known as a "beautiful witch" who is 12 years younger than the presidential candidate...
By media surveys, etc., the ``monster skin'' of ``the president of a content production company that is strong in art and education'' has been peeled off. There was a lie about his high school and university teaching career, and a lie about his graduation from the graduate school of Seoul National University. In addition, he has a history of being manipulated by a foreign car dealer company through illegal stock trading, and even a suspicion that he worked at a hospitality restaurant under the name "Juri" in the past. Kim Gun Hee held an apology press conference on December 26.
Moreover, something surprising happened to her on January 16th.
``The content of the phone call with the enemy media is exposed''
I became close to an innovative YouTube media reporter, and the content of my chatting was exposed.
"Revolutionary people don't have money, right?" We wanted to live.” “The political party really didn’t want us to run as candidates.”
She was severely criticized for being unsuitable for the first lady of the president, but on the contrary, there was a rare phenomenon that the number of unofficial fan club members increased sharply, saying that she was "clean" and "told the truth."
On the other hand, the wife of the revolutionary ruling party candidate, who has acted "simple" and "gentle", has also been hit with "violent material."
Lee Jae-myung candidate Kim Hye-kyung's wife's suspicion of overuse and misappropriation of corporate card expenses. This is the nickname given to her for the first time in her life as an empress.
"Haegyeong Palace"
55 years old born in October 1966. After graduating from Sookmyung Women's University piano major, she married Lee Jae-myung in 1991. He has been with his spouse, who has served as Mayor of Seongnam City in Gyeonggi Province and Governor of Gyeonggi Province.
The first "scandal discovery" dates back to before this election.
2018's "Twitter allegations".
It is a suspicion that he started tweeting with an account called "08__hkkim" set as "Lee Jae-myung supporter" when he was the mayor of Seongnam City near Seoul (around 2013).
The criticism of Moon Jae-in, the same innovative system that was unfolded there, was furious.
What's the problem with Choi Soon-sil entering (prestigious) Ewha Womans University?
"Let's look at it from the perspective that if candidate Moon becomes president, he will definitely be like President Roh Moo-hyun (the economic disparity will widen while advocating fairness)" (December 2016, ahead of the next year's presidential election)
In 2018, I raised the issue that the terrestrial MBC was rumored to be posted by Mrs. Lee Jae-myung's wife. In the investigation that followed, they matched email address, mobile phone number, place of residence, major on profile, number of children, etc. … In the end, the police determined that the person was the person, but the prosecution ended with the conclusion that they could not be determined. It was
In any case, since "enthusiastic supporters" can hit so far, candidate Lee Jae-myung and President Moon Jae-in are in a transcendental discord. This point seems certain. The two have a history of going head-to-head over the party's nominee selection in the 2017 presidential election.
Also, on January 28th of this year, "SBS" reported that "the suspicion of being a public servant when her husband was governor of Gyeonggi Province" surfaced.
Bae Sohyun, who is a contract worker at the provincial government office, leaked and was discovered. The content is also ferocious.
"Present medicine instead" "Delivery of food" "Organization of underwear and socks" "Delivery of discharge processing for son who was hospitalized" "Sending 'Midsummer gift' to Mr. Preparing to visit Mr. Kim's grave." Not only that, but he also said, "When I passed the car and didn't say hello, I scolded him for 'lack of loyalty.'" Furthermore, in this accusation, Mr. Kim came up with the story that he "privately used the corporate credit card of the provincial government office" ...
In the end, I decided to hold an apology press conference at the party headquarters on February 9th.
"We've known each other for a long time, but I couldn't tell the difference between public and private," he said.
Of course, the conservative media reacted strongly to the incident. "Has the Democratic Party forgotten the mindset it used to fight the civil movement?"
In the end, it is an "unusual" development that the wives of the two main candidates will officially apologize in about a month and a half in late December 2021 and early February 2022.
At the first TV debate where the candidates themselves gathered on February 4th, the two candidates did not criticize each other's wives' problems. Both sides remained silent because the Yoon Seok-yeol camp also said, “We have the call record regarding the suspicion of the ruling party camp.”
From squeezing information to squabbling leaks. It's like the world of Korean dramas.
The ``bad''-looking lady spouts unbelievable abusive language.
The "seemingly pure" wife works behind the scenes and acts harshly.
Which do you hate?
It is also the presidential election that seems to decide the outcome. On March 3, "Kokumin Ilbo" announced the results of a public opinion poll, "Which of the two candidates' risk of being married is greater?"
Yoon Seok-yeol (Mrs. Kim Gun-hee) is 43%, and Lee Jae-myung (Mrs. Kim Hye-kyung) is 41.1%.
(end)